The Superbonus season is coming to an end and the interventions that can be financed by the NPRR have been defined, but the inefficiency of the Italian building stock remains a problem that has still to be resolved. Enea estimates that three out of four buildings need radical interventions to reduce energy waste and will need to design comprehensive measures not only to comply with EU regulations, but also to complete the environmental transition.

It is within this framework that Miba and Politecnico di Milano have established a partnership, leading to the creation of an Observatory that analyses scenarios and trends. The objective is to bring into focus the key development themes and assist industry operators in maximising their skills and their capacity for innovation. A valuable scientific contribution that exhibitors, analysts, and participants at Gee-Global Elevator Exhibition can rely on to gain an always up-to-date overview of the market and its needs.

The first Polimi study focuses on the green houses directive and the potential impact on the various sectors represented by Milan International Building Alliance: the envelope, materials, plant engineering, energy and technologies.

The analysts have outlined three possible scenarios, each tied to different levels of spending on energy redevelopment interventions, in addition to the fixed annual investment allocated for renovations/maintenance. The baseline perspective, identified as “Business-As-Usual”, estimates a trend of investments in energy redevelopment similar to that achieved in the past through the Ecobonus, equal to about 3.7 billion per year for the residential sector, obtaining additional energy savings (compared to the share reached in 2024) of approximately 15,500 GWh/year in 2035.

In the intermediate scenario, "Policy-Driven," interventions amounting to approximately 10 billion euros annually are envisioned, while in the third scenario, "Ambitious," the mobilization of investments is projected to average around 14.5 billion euros. These scenarios are detailed, with the necessary interventions, not only on building envelopes but also taking a 360-degree approach to all aspects of living, including systems for horizontal and vertical mobility.

The analysis is not only quantitative. Completing the green transition requires a system commitment that sees institutions, regulation, market operators, citizens and bureaucracy march together. The challenge is wide-ranging, but it can be won by joining forces and concentrating efforts. Miba is working in this direction, leveraging its comprehensive offerings to provide a panoramic overview of the materials, products, technologies, processes, and solutions involved in the creation of low-impact, smart, safe, and accessible buildings and cities.

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